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中国联通 (600050)

☆财务分析☆   ◇600050   更新日期:2008-11-01◇   
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-09-30|2008-06-30|2008-03-31|2007-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1940    |0.1237    |0.0570    |0.2660    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1940    |0.1246    |0.0570    |0.2030    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.7000    |2.6300    |2.6260    |2.5700    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |7.2000    |4.7100    |2.2000    |10.4000   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.9517    |0.9515    |0.9513    |0.9503    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.7327    |0.6624    |0.6529    |0.5958    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|5367446.37|3593811.30|2595038.44|10046760.9|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净利润(万元)      |411203.19 |262218.31 |120891.37 |563287.89 |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-09-30|2007-06-30|2007-03-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1490    |0.0610    |0.0550    |0.1000    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1660    |0.1110    |0.0510    |0.1730    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.4600    |2.2300    |2.2900    |2.2500    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |6.0000    |2.7400    |2.4000    |4.4000    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.9610    |0.8125    |0.8117    |0.8234    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.4187    |0.3311    |0.3925    |0.4066    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|7480261.00|4962908.40|2419906.90|9655634.44|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净利润(万元)      |320132.99 |132733.36 |119226.66 |211429.77 |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-09-30|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.1940    |0.2660    |0.1000    |0.1300    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1940    |0.2030    |0.1730    |0.1300    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.7000    |2.5700    |2.2500    |2.2400    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.9517    |0.9503    |0.8234    |0.8086    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.7327    |0.5958    |0.4066    |0.3698    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |1.0782    |1.5393    |1.7505    |1.5331    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.0848    |-0.2625   |0.3176    |0.0394    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-09-30|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|5367446.37|10046760.9|9655634.44|7610879.05|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |3443882.27|
|经营费用(万元)    |796616.06 |1824105.23|1801077.99|1941733.61|
|管理费用(万元)    |346732.88 |578661.58 |573600.26 |643330.21 |
|财务费用(万元)    |-23046.86 |-21432.27 |99813.25  |165830.37 |
|三项费用增长率(%) |8.37      |-3.76     |-10.04    |0.39      |
|营业利润(万元)    |741551.35 |1034828.17|617508.66 |666252.32 |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-12100.69 |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |-555.96   |280718.79 |-14125.09 |-1397.87  |
|利润总额(万元)    |740995.39 |1315546.95|603383.57 |652753.75 |
|所得税(万元)      |196796.18 |383606.46 |266847.88 |206444.39 |
|净利润(万元)      |411203.19 |563287.89 |211429.77 |284221.93 |
|销售毛利率(%)     |39.42     |38.81     |38.77     |47.93     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |45.25     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |7.20      |10.40     |4.40      |5.97      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-09-30|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |19.38     |25.08     |26.38     |15.18     |
|应收账款周转率(%) |18.23     |29.60     |23.74     |15.23     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.37      |0.70      |0.69      |0.54      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |3.85      |4.05      |26.87     |7.59      |
|营业利润增长率(%) |3.89      |67.58     |-7.32     |8.90      |
|税后利润增长率(%) |28.45     |166.42    |-25.61    |15.02     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |9.40      |14.36     |0.01      |4.73      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |3.70      |1.80      |2.60      |-4.47     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-09-30|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |14248874.7|14450922.5|14195223.3|13835422.6|
|负债总额(万元)  |4480613.61|5157177.02|6636945.21|6330161.45|
|流动负债(万元)  |3822502.31|4941849.61|5188904.49|5116911.67|
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |1212688.51|
|货币资金(万元)  |405904.34 |733150.70 |1244909.40|578511.28 |
|应收帐款(万元)  |261626.60 |327321.33 |351607.45 |461983.53 |
|其他应收款(万元)|85761.85  |212042.38 |83436.12  |116360.46 |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |5714194.76|5442409.10|4758866.12|4758587.21|
|资产负债率(%)   |31.4453   |35.6875   |46.7547   |45.7532   |
|股东权益比率(%) |40.1027   |37.6613   |33.5244   |34.3942   |
|流动比率(%)     |0.2448    |0.3406    |0.3990    |0.3014    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.2232    |0.2895    |0.3532    |0.2602    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-09-30|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |4629540.21|9360066.71|8920962.98|8047565.34|
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |2285540.02|3262986.25|3710574.22|3249693.15|
|现金净流量(万元)|179747.43 |-556609.66|673290.03 |83666.06  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-8.59     |-10.35    |14.18     |24.92     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |86.2522   |93.1650   |92.3913   |105.7377  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |1143.3647 |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |29.4369   |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-1631404.7|-2477793.2|-1733287.8|-1665699.8|
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-474387.85|-1341802.7|-1303996.4|-1500327.3|
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-09-30    |2007-09-30    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|货币资金(万元)      |405904.34     |858423.49     |-52.72      |
|应收票据(万元)      |1943.41       |12903.72      |-84.94      |
|存货(万元)          |82768.89      |268058.42     |-69.12      |
|其他流动资产(万元)  |-             |46735.55      |-100.00     |
|工程物资(万元)      |232946.29     |125656.55     |85.38       |
|应付票据(万元)      |4398.67       |122914.07     |-96.42      |
|长期借款(万元)      |-             |170216.65     |-100.00     |
|盈余公积(万元)      |24169.81      |179200.36     |-86.51      |
|未分配利润(万元)    |1553030.73    |887568.06     |74.98       |
|减:财务费用(万元)   |-23046.86     |-11032.90     |-108.89     |
|收到其他与投资活动  |              |              |            |
|有关现金(万元)      |75966.24      |19914.17      |281.47      |
|投资现金流入        |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |95429.62      |38192.18      |149.87      |
|支付其他与投资      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |27120.00      |15153.04      |78.97       |
|收到其他与筹资      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |75966.24      |19914.17      |281.47      |
|偿还债务所          |              |              |            |
|支付现金(万元)      |224591.47     |1096093.24    |-79.51      |
|(筹资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |495680.72     |1361841.67    |-63.60      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-474387.85    |-1340611.46   |64.61       |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |179747.43     |-379235.11    |147.40      |
|加:财务费用(万元)  |-23046.86     |-11032.90     |-108.89     |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |179747.43     |-379235.11    |147.40      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |  2447463.48|     24.36|   119226.66|     21.17|
|第二季度      |   979625.26|      9.75|    13506.70|      2.40|
|第三季度      |  1741336.10|     17.33|   187399.64|     33.27|
|第四季度      |  4878336.06|     48.56|   243154.89|     43.17|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |  2327394.21|     24.10|    82305.43|     38.93|
|第二季度      |  2420276.37|     25.07|    82109.13|     38.84|
|第三季度      |  2372119.96|     24.57|    83557.44|     39.52|
|第四季度      |  2535843.89|     26.26|   -36542.23|    -17.28|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-09-30
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |     -0.2025|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1106|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0503|    1.0166|    重警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      1.2753|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.3766|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |    -12.23|     -0.12|      4.46|     -0.05|
|总资产现金回收率      |      0.19|     -0.12|     -0.34|     -0.54|
|净利润率              |      0.22|      0.38|      0.92|      1.07|
|应收帐款              |     -0.17|     -0.68|     -1.58|     -0.62|
|经营预警综合指数      |     -3.60|     -0.13|      1.11|     -0.09|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.58|    -11.68|     -1.45|          |
|现金盈利留存率        |     12.73|     -1.06|     -6.20|          |
|留存盈利              |      0.34|      0.64|      2.95|          |
|净资产收益率          |     89.00|     97.33|     86.17|    113.77|
|投资预警综合指数      |     21.21|     15.77|     15.53|     22.75|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.32|      0.14|      0.10|     -0.36|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.32|      0.14|      0.10|     -0.36|
|支付现金股利          |      0.25|      0.02|      0.46|          |
|银行贷款率            |      0.97|      0.97|      0.95|          |
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.47|      0.19|     -0.23|     -0.75|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      5.06|      4.76|      5.19|      6.71|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

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